2012, the year of change. The French and Greek elections – both held in May – greatly affected the US economy and its prospects of recovery. The 2012 US presidential elections will most certainly do the same to Europe. Friends and foes, the US and the European Union have gone through all kinds of relationships. After 6 November, what will it become?
Why should we care about the US presidential election? Yes, there are differences between Obama and Romney. And yes, these differences are all but negligible. But do these differences, these contrasts in the policies they propose, really relate to us?
Study of Voting Behaviour began in the twentieth century, and since then various factors had several impacts on it such as social class, geography, age and media. However, nowadays one can claim that the strongest instrument that affects the social behaviour is the Digital Media rather than the traditional one.
Barack Obama and the European Union have two things in common: a Nobel Peace Prize, and a lot of problems. And the two things could be correlated.
Over the past two years, the worldwide political scene has witnessed major challenges of political transitions in different territories that led to radical changes for countries. During this period Ankara and Washington relations have hit a rough patch on the road. Recent tensions in Syria, even creates more political issues in between these two key players. So what shall we expect next, especially giving the fact that a general election is approaching in the states.
In the last 2012 French Presidential Election, the surge of populism constituted a major component of the political campaign. In the United States, the Tea Party has caught media and politicians’ attention alike, gaining a strong political voice, as the designation of Paul Ryan as Mitt Romney’s running mate suggests.
While Merkel, Cameron and Sarkozy denounce multiculturalism as being a failure, a black president is running the US.
“The European welfare is dead”: This strong criticism reveals and justifies a certain rejection of the welfare state in the United States. Despite some evolution since the Clinton era and a revitalisation during the Obama administration, the forces pushing against its development seem to remain strong, using the media as its main support.
As we all know, ever since the 1980’s working class electorates in Europe have opted for far right parties in great numbers. Indeed, parties like the Front National in France or the British National Party went from being ultra-conservative to advocating a statist and economically protectionist platform.
The economic crisis that continues to affect both the American and European economies has contributed to the re-launch of the debate on the negotiation of a transatlantic free trade agreement (FTA). While the establishment of a working group on EU-US trade relations shows the commitment of both parties’ to a thorough reflection process on the possibility of an FTA, obstacles to its realisation should not be underestimated. Furthermore, the impending US Presidential election raises the question of which candidate will be most willing to address these obstacles and work towards a more integrated transatlantic market.